Pre-tourney Rankings
Big 12
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
1 Kansas 100.0%   1   29 - 4 15 - 3 29 - 4 15 - 3 +21.3      +11.5 6 +9.8 4 71.5 136 +23.5 1 +22.4 1
6 West Virginia 100.0%   2   26 - 8 13 - 5 26 - 8 13 - 5 +18.8      +9.1 16 +9.7 5 73.1 94 +18.3 7 +18.9 2
8 Oklahoma 100.0%   2   25 - 7 12 - 6 25 - 7 12 - 6 +17.7      +9.1 17 +8.6 10 74.7 74 +19.2 4 +17.4 3
18 Iowa St. 100.0%   5   21 - 11 10 - 8 21 - 11 10 - 8 +15.4      +12.0 3 +3.4 85 77.3 46 +14.8 20 +14.6 6
20 Baylor 100.0%   5   21 - 11 10 - 8 21 - 11 10 - 8 +14.9      +10.3 13 +4.7 58 66.6 263 +15.1 17 +14.6 5
30 Texas 100.0%   6   20 - 12 11 - 7 20 - 12 11 - 7 +12.8      +6.3 40 +6.5 34 64.5 303 +14.4 23 +16.4 4
40 Texas Tech 97.4%   7   19 - 12 9 - 9 19 - 12 9 - 9 +10.9      +7.0 34 +4.0 74 66.6 265 +12.5 29 +13.6 7
49 Kansas St. 0.0%   17 - 16 5 - 13 17 - 16 5 - 13 +10.4      +3.8 85 +6.6 32 67.1 250 +9.8 54 +7.3 8
82 Oklahoma St. 0.0%   12 - 20 3 - 15 12 - 20 3 - 15 +6.8      +1.5 136 +5.3 46 62.3 335 +3.5 119 +3.7 9
113 TCU 0.0%   12 - 21 2 - 16 12 - 21 2 - 16 +3.5      -1.2 198 +4.7 57 72.8 104 +3.8 115 +1.7 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Kansas 1.0 100.0
West Virginia 2.0 100.0
Oklahoma 3.0 100.0
Iowa St. 5.0 100.0
Baylor 5.0 100.0
Texas 4.0 100.0
Texas Tech 7.0 100.0
Kansas St. 8.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 9.0 100.0
TCU 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kansas 15 - 3 100.0
West Virginia 13 - 5 100.0
Oklahoma 12 - 6 100.0
Iowa St. 10 - 8 100.0
Baylor 10 - 8 100.0
Texas 11 - 7 100.0
Texas Tech 9 - 9 100.0
Kansas St. 5 - 13 100.0
Oklahoma St. 3 - 15 100.0
TCU 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kansas 100.0% 100.0
West Virginia
Oklahoma
Iowa St.
Baylor
Texas
Texas Tech
Kansas St.
Oklahoma St.
TCU


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kansas 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   94.0 5.9 0.0
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   18.5 44.1 35.5 1.9 0.0 100.0%
Oklahoma 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   26.4 52.9 20.3 0.4 100.0%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 2.5 23.6 39.4 31.8 2.6 0.0 100.0%
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 2.9 24.1 37.5 32.2 3.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Texas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6   0.9 12.4 35.9 46.0 4.7 0.0 100.0%
Texas Tech 97.4% 0.0% 97.4% 7   0.2 5.0 47.1 33.4 10.3 1.4 0.0 2.6 97.4%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oklahoma St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TCU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.4% 83.6% 62.1% 40.9% 26.2% 16.7%
West Virginia 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 94.8% 70.2% 43.6% 24.2% 13.1% 6.9%
Oklahoma 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 94.4% 67.2% 39.7% 20.2% 10.3% 4.7%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 77.0% 41.1% 17.0% 7.5% 3.1% 1.2%
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 75.4% 39.1% 15.9% 6.8% 2.6% 1.0%
Texas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 67.0% 28.1% 9.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
Texas Tech 97.4% 0.0% 97.4% 46.9% 11.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TCU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 7.0 2.6 97.4
1st Round 100.0% 7.0 2.6 97.4
2nd Round 100.0% 5.5 0.0 0.1 1.9 11.7 31.5 38.8 16.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.8% 3.4 0.2 3.5 15.9 33.4 31.7 13.1 2.1 0.1
Elite Eight 93.9% 1.9 6.1 27.4 40.2 21.9 4.2 0.3 0.0
Final Four 75.2% 1.0 24.8 49.5 22.8 2.8 0.1
Final Game 50.5% 0.6 49.5 44.4 6.2
Champion 30.8% 0.3 69.2 30.8